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You are here		www.cold-takes.com Forecasting transformative AI: the "biological anchors" method in a nutshell
\|	\|	blog.heim.xyz Summary - Transformative AI and Compute	3.2 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	Modern progress in AI systems has been driven and enabled mainly by acquiring more computational resources. AI systems rely on computation-intensive training runs - they require massive amounts of compute.	3.2 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	www.alignmentforum.org Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover - AI Alignment Forum	4.1 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	"Human feedbackon diverse tasks" could lead to transformative AI, while requiring little innovation on current techniques. But it seems likely that...	4.1 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	www.lesswrong.com A proposed method for forecasting transformative AI - LessWrong	1.2 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	In 2021, I proposed measuring progress in the perplexity of language models and extrapolating past results to determine when language models were exp...	1.2 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	www.theregister.com China moves to extend control over rare earths The Register	24.7 parsecs away Travel
\|		: New laws restrict goods that are manufactured outside of China	24.7 parsecs away Travel