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www.erichgrunewald.com
| | www.lesswrong.com

It'll take until ~2050 to repeat the level of scaling that pretraining compute is experiencing this decade, as increasing funding can't sustain the c...
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| | epochai.org

We combine the Direct Approach framework with simple models of progress in algorithms, investment, and compute costs to produce a user-adjustable forecast of when TAI will be achieved.
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| | blog.heim.xyz

Modern progress in AI systems has been driven and enabled mainly by acquiring more computational resources. AI systems rely on computation-intensive training runs - they require massive amounts of compute.
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| | v5.chriskrycho.com

Because I am pretty well persuaded at this point that "AI" obscures far more than it illuminates.
18.7 parsecs

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