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You are here		epochai.org A Compute-Based Framework for Thinking About the Future of AI - Epoch AI
\|	\|	www.erichgrunewald.com The Prospect of an AI Winter	2.9 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	The Prospect of an AI Winter - Texts on this and that.	2.9 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	www.lesswrong.com A proposed method for forecasting transformative AI - LessWrong	2.1 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	In 2021, I proposed measuring progress in the perplexity of language models and extrapolating past results to determine when language models were exp...	2.1 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	www.cold-takes.com Forecasting transformative AI: the "biological anchors" method in a nutshell	3.6 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	My preferred method of forecasting transformative AI, with pros and cons.	3.6 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	www.whitehouse.gov Protecting The Meaning And Value Of American Citizenship - The White House	18.7 parsecs away Travel
\|		By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered: Section 1.	18.7 parsecs away Travel