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austinrochford.com
Splines are a powerful tool when modeling nonlinear relationships. This post shows how to include splines in a Bayesian model in Python using pymc3. In addition, we will show how to use a second splin |
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isaacslavitt.com
[AI summary] The article discusses the German Tank Problem, a statistical estimation challenge where the goal is to infer the total number of tanks based on observed serial numbers, using Bayesian methods and MCMC libraries like Sampyl, PyMC3, and PyStan. |
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fharrell.com
Historical data (HD) are being used increasingly in Bayesian analyses when it is difficult to randomize enough patients to study effectiveness of a treatment. Such analyses summarize observational studies' posterior effectiveness distribution (for two-arm HD) or standard-of-care outcome distribution (for one-arm HD) then turn that into a prior distribution for an RCT. The prior distribution is then flattened somewhat to discount the HD. Since Bayesian modeling makes it easy to fit multiple models at once... |
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juliasilge.com
A data science blog |
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