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articles.foletta.org
| | blog.foletta.net
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| | isaacslavitt.com
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| | [AI summary] The article discusses the German Tank Problem, a statistical estimation challenge where the goal is to infer the total number of tanks based on observed serial numbers, using Bayesian methods and MCMC libraries like Sampyl, PyMC3, and PyStan.
| | fharrell.com
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| | Historical data (HD) are being used increasingly in Bayesian analyses when it is difficult to randomize enough patients to study effectiveness of a treatment. Such analyses summarize observational studies' posterior effectiveness distribution (for two-arm HD) or standard-of-care outcome distribution (for one-arm HD) then turn that into a prior distribution for an RCT. The prior distribution is then flattened somewhat to discount the HD. Since Bayesian modeling makes it easy to fit multiple models at once...
| | phdinds-aim.github.io
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