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joecarlsmith.com
| | qualiacomputing.com
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| | "It seems plain and self-evident, yet it needs to be said: the isolated knowledge obtained by a group of specialists in a narrow field has in itself no value whatsoever, but only in its synthesis with all the rest of knowledge and only inasmuch as it really contributes in this synthesis toward answering the demand,...
| | www.alignmentforum.org
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| | Suppose you want to build a robot to achieve some real-world goal for you-a goal that requires the robot to learn for itself and figure out a lot of...
| | www.lesswrong.com
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| | A four-part picture.
| | www.lesswrong.com
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| Comment by paulfchristiano - A common view is that the timelines to risky AI are largely driven by hardware progress and deep learning progress occurring outside of OpenAI. Many people (both at OpenAI and elsewhere) believe that questions of who builds AI and how are very important relative to acceleration of AI timelines. This is related to lower estimates of alignment risk, higher estimates of the importance of geopolitical conflict, and (perhaps most importantly of all) radically lower estimates for the amount of useful alignment progress that would occur this far in advance of AI if progress were to be slowed down. Below I'll also discuss two arguments that delaying AI progress would on net reduce alignment risk which I often encountered at OpenAI. I thi...