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www.cold-takes.com | ||
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www.greaterwrong.com
Hi everyone! I have just published a report with Convergence Analysis exploring how transformative AI (TAI) could be developed within the next ten years. It's called Pathways to short TAI timelines (pdf version; Google Doc version). In the report, I examine the debates over compute scaling and recursive improvement as mechanisms for rapid capabilities progress, distill the core elements of these debates under seven distinct scenarios of rapid progress, and ultimately build a case for the plausibility of TAI being developed by 2035. |
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epochai.org
AI's potential to automate labor is likely to alter the course of human history within decades, with the availability of compute being the most important factor driving rapid progress in AI capabilities. |
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www.lesswrong.com
Preface The following text is my submission for theAI Safety Public Materials contest. In it, I try to lay out the importance of AI Safety Research... |
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www.lesswrong.com
We founded Anthropic because we believe the impact of AI might be comparable to that of the industrial and scientific revolutions, but we aren't conf... |
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