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www.greaterwrong.com
| | dynomight.net

How likely are we to hit a barrier?
6.6 parsecs

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| | www.lesswrong.com

It'll take until ~2050 to repeat the level of scaling that pretraining compute is experiencing this decade, as increasing funding can't sustain the c...
0.0 parsecs

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| | www.alexirpan.com

In August 2020, I wrote a post about my AI timelines.Using the following definition of AGI:
6.5 parsecs

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| | martinschoombee.com

Most people will describe a framework as the "building blocks" of something. I see it more as the foundation and outer frame of a structure, if you'd like to use the building of a house as an analogy. There are a few rigid pieces (the foundation) that provide restrictions outside of which you are not...
17.9 parsecs

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