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| | www.soberlook.com
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| | Guest post by Norman Mogil When the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets in the coming week, there will be pressure from...
| | www.atlantafed.org
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| | The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tool is watched closely these days amid concerns about inflation and the Fed's raising of the fed funds rate. Read Economy Matters for a look at what the GDPNow is and what it is not.
| | www.moneyandbanking.com
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| | "Headline" inflation is making painful headlines again. In October, consumer prices rose by 6.2 percent from a year ago-the most rapid gain in at least three decades. Measures of trend inflation also are showing unsettling increases, with the trimmed mean CPI up by 4%. And there are reasons to believe that inflation will stay well above policymakers' 2% target for an extended period. In this post, we briefly summarize how we got here and argue that the Federal Reserve needs to change course now. In our v...
| | libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org
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| Starting in early 2018, the U.S. government imposed tariffs on over $300 billion of U.S. imports from China, increasing the average tariff rate from 2.7 percent to 17.5 percent. Much of the escalation in tariffs occurred in the second and third quarters of 2019. In response, the Chinese government retaliated, increasing the average tariff applied on U.S. exports from 5.7 percent to 20.4 percent. Our new study finds that the trade war reduced U.S. investment growth by 0.3 percentage points by the end of 2...