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mathscholar.org
| | daniellefong.com
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| | Recently, unusual features of the cosmic microwave background, a 'snapshot' of the early universe, have raised issues with our understanding of the Big Bang. A Caltech team has shown how we might fix our theories. They suggest that there might have been an asymmetry in the energy that once powered the big bang. If this...
| | telescoper.blog
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| | At the risk of giving the impression that I'm obsessed with the issue of the Hubble constant, I thought I'd do a quick post about something vaguely related to that which I happened to be thinking about the other night.It has been remarked that the two allegedly discrepant sets of measures of the cosmological distance...
| | mathinvestor.org
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| | [AI summary] The text explores the post-hoc probability fallacy across various domains, emphasizing that assigning probabilities to singular events based on observed outcomes is logically flawed. It discusses examples like the evolution of life, the fine-tuning of the universe, and the multiverse theory, all of which are criticized for relying on flawed probabilistic reasoning. The text also references Steven Pinker's analogy to illustrate the fallacy, highlighting that such reasoning often leads to incorrect conclusions about the likelihood of events. Overall, the summary underscores the importance of recognizing the limitations of probabilistic reasoning when dealing with unique, unrepeatable phenomena.
| | www.lesswrong.com
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| Followup to: Anthropic Reasoning in UDT by Wei Dai ...