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www.greaterwrong.com
| | reducing-suffering.org
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| | sideways-view.com
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| | There are many tricky questions in decision theory. In this post, I'll argue that the choice between CDT and EDT isn't one of them. Causal decision theory (CDT) evaluates expected utilities under causal interventions, while evidential decision theory (EDT) evaluates conditional expected utilities. Humans tend to have strong intuitions in favor of CDT, but I'll...
| | www.lesswrong.com
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| | The best approach I know for thinking about anthropic problems is Wei Dai's Updateless Decision Theory (UDT). We aren't yet able to solve all problem...
| | www.alignmentforum.org
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| > This post is part of my AI strategy nearcasting series: trying to answer key strategic questions about transformative AI, under the assumption that...