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www.soberlook.com | ||
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digbysblog.net
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| | | | | [AI summary] The article discusses the U.S. economy's strong post-pandemic recovery, highlighting its outperformance compared to other major economies and the effectiveness of fiscal policy over monetary policy in economic management. | |
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www.clevelandfed.org
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| | | | | The recent global financial crisis left governments in many advanced countries with very heavy debt burdens and their central banks with huge portfolios of government bonds. With many central banks today still facing policy rates that are uncomfortably close to zero, some may follow the example of Japan, which recently added a new long-term interest-rate target to its short-term target to give itself "yield-curve control." The Federal Reserve's foray into similar territory around the Second World War sug... | |
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libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org
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| | | | | Starting in early 2018, the U.S. government imposed tariffs on over $300 billion of U.S. imports from China, increasing the average tariff rate from 2.7 percent to 17.5 percent. Much of the escalation in tariffs occurred in the second and third quarters of 2019. In response, the Chinese government retaliated, increasing the average tariff applied on U.S. exports from 5.7 percent to 20.4 percent. Our new study finds that the trade war reduced U.S. investment growth by 0.3 percentage points by the end of 2... | |
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libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org
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| | | The debate about the natural rate of interest, or r*, sometimes overlooks the point that there is an entire term structure of r* measures, with short-run estimates capturing current economic conditions and long-run estimates capturing more secular factors. The whole term structure of r* matters for policy: shorter run measures are relevant for gauging how restrictive or expansionary current policy is, while longer run measures are relevant when assessing terminal rates. This two-post series covers the ev... | ||
