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andrewjaffe.net | ||
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www.lesswrong.com
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| | | | | The best approach I know for thinking about anthropic problems is Wei Dai's Updateless Decision Theory (UDT). We aren't yet able to solve all problem... | |
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reasonableapproximation.net
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| | | | | [AI summary] The author critiques and clarifies the Kelly Criterion by arguing it optimizes rank-based growth rates and expected log-money rather than acting as a general utility function, debating how this mathematical framework applies to philanthropy and charity. | |
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alexanderetz.com
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| | | | | [This post has been updated and turned into a paper to be published in AMPPS] Much of the discussion in psychology surrounding Bayesian inference focuses on priors. Should we embrace priors, or should we be skeptical? When are Bayesian methods sensitive to specification of the prior, and when do the data effectively overwhelm it? Should... | |
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relativitydigest.com
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| | | I have a talk today at Perimeter Institute: here are the slides. I basically showed that even a stochastic multiverse must be generated by precise initial conditions! | ||