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You are here		www.nowozin.net Becoming a Bayesian, Part 2 - Sebastian Nowozins slow blog
\|	\|	www.yulingyao.com Bayes is guaranteed to overfit, for any model, any prior, and every data point - Yuling Yao's Blog	4.5 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	The myth A few years ago I saw a StackOverflow question (but I cannot find it now): allegedly Andrew Gelman blogged that Bayesian models would not overfit and would only underfit (I also cannot find Andrew's blog post now but I think what he meant by "Bayesian models only underfits" is that you can never fully model the true data process in the population).	4.5 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	tiao.io A Primer on Pólya-gamma Random Variables - Part II: Bayesian Logistic Regression \| Louis Tiao	4.6 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	One weird trick to make exact inference in Bayesian logistic regression tractable.	4.6 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	darrenjw.wordpress.com Unbiased MCMC with couplings - Darren Wilkinson's blog	4.5 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	Yesterday there was an RSS Read Paper meeting for the paper Unbiased Markov chain Monte Carlo with couplings by Pierre Jacob, John O'Leary and Yves F. Atchadé. The paper addresses the bias in MCMC estimates due to lack of convergence to equilibrium (the "burn-in" problem), and shows how it is possible to modify MCMC algorithms...	4.5 parsecs away Travel
\|	\|	phoquess.com IMG_1524 - out of phoquess	26.8 parsecs away Travel
\|		Basically just three magpies in a (handmade) trench coat.	26.8 parsecs away Travel