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www.greaterwrong.com | ||
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shkspr.mobi
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| | | | | One day you or someone you love will almost certainly appear in a criminal courtroom. You might be a juror, a victim, a witness or - perhaps through no fault of your own - a defendant. Whatever your role, you'd expect a fair trial. I want to share some stories from my daily life to show you how the system is broken, who broke it and why we should start caring before it's too late. I love the bl... | |
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lookingatdata.blogspot.com
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| | | | | Last week I posted a manuscript on arXiv entitled On decision-theoretic justifications for Bayesian hypothesis testing through credible set... | |
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www.jefftk.com
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| | | | | An incredibly productive way of working with the world is to reduce a complex question to something that can be modeled mathematically and then do the math. The most common way this can fail, however, is when your model is missing important properties of the real world. Consider insurance: there's some event with probability X% under which you'd be out $Y, you want to maximize the logarithm of your wealth, and your current wealth is $Z. Under this model, you can calculate (more) the most you should be willing to pay to insure against this. | |
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hbiostat.org
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