/explore
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joecarlsmith.com | ||
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www.lesswrong.com
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| | | | | Introduction This sequence is an attempt to sketch a unified framework for several interconnected questions: Where do Bayesian priors come from? What... | |
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www.greaterwrong.com
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| | | | | tl;dr: many effective altruists and rationalists seem to have key misunderstandings of anthropic reasoning; but anthropic probability is actually easier than it seems. True or false: I'd recommend trying to answer that question in your head before reading more. Have you got an answer? Or at least a guess? Or a vague feeling? Anyway, time's up. That statement is true - obviously, surviving is evidence of safety. What are the other options? Surviving is evidence of danger? Obviously not. Evidence of nothing at all? It seems unlikely that our survival has exactly no implications about the danger. | |
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handsandcities.com
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| | | | | Essay examining a certain sort of fundamental prior, called the "Universal Distribution." | |
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www.newyorker.com
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| | | Matthew Hutson on technologists' warnings about the dangers of the so-called singularity, and the question of whether anything can be done to prevent it. | ||
