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        www.chrisstucchio.com | ||
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              www.johndcook.com
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| | | | | Bayes theorem lets you turn probabilities around. For example, going from distribution of names given birth year to distribution of birth year for each name. | |
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              andrewjaffe.net
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              allenc.com
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| | | | | Quantum Supremacy is the latest book by Michio Kaku, a theoretical physics professor at CUNY by title, but also a prolific author and media personality. It's | |
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              easystats.github.io
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| | | TLDR: BayestestR currently uses a 89% threshold by default for Credible Intervals (CI). Should we change that? If so, by what? Join the discussion here. Magical numbers, or conventional thresholds, have bad press in statistics, and there are many of them. For instance, .05 (for the p-value), or the 95% range for the Confidence Interval (CI). Indeed, why 95 and not 94 or 90? One of the issue that traditional confidence intervals are often being interpreted as a description of the uncertainty surrounding a parameter's value. | ||