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meteuphoric.com | ||
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longtermrisk.org
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| | | | | Suffering risks, or s-risks, are "risks of events that bring about suffering in cosmically significant amounts" (Althaus and Gloor 2016).1 This article will discuss why the reduction of s-risks could be a candidate for a top priority among altruistic causes aimed at influencing the long-term future. The number of sentient beings in the future might be astronomical, and certain cultural, evolutionary, and technological forces could cause many of these beings to have lives dominated by severe suffering. S-... | |
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mathinvestor.org
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| | | | | [AI summary] The text explores the post-hoc probability fallacy across various domains, emphasizing that assigning probabilities to singular events based on observed outcomes is logically flawed. It discusses examples like the evolution of life, the fine-tuning of the universe, and the multiverse theory, all of which are criticized for relying on flawed probabilistic reasoning. The text also references Steven Pinker's analogy to illustrate the fallacy, highlighting that such reasoning often leads to incorrect conclusions about the likelihood of events. Overall, the summary underscores the importance of recognizing the limitations of probabilistic reasoning when dealing with unique, unrepeatable phenomena. | |
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scottaaronson.blog
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| | | | | In this post, I wish to propose for the reader's favorable consideration a doctrine that will strike many in the nerd community as strange, bizarre, and paradoxical, but that I hope will at least be given a hearing. The doctrine in question is this: while it is possible that, a century hence, humans will have... | |
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thememeticist.com
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| | | Crossposted on the EA Forum. | ||
