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occidentaldissent.com | ||
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eff.org
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| | | | | Protect digital privacy and free expression. The Electronic Frontier Foundation's public interest legal work, activism, and software development preserve fundamental rights. EFF is a U.S. 501(c)(3) nonprofit,... | |
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www.2blowhards.com
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| | | | | 2blowhards.com - a weblog | |
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www.greaterwrong.com
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| | | | | At this point, for many tax situations, you cannot rationally believe both 'Nate Silver is credible' and 'I should not be betting on Biden'. If you have any trust in Nate you cannot think Biden is below ~80% to win. You can get 'Biden' for 65-66c on Predictit. Notably, there are several de facto copies of the same bet (Female VP, Dems win presidency). Even with fees, you are making a lot of stochastic money. Your capital will probably not be held up that long. If you are outside the USA or [wink wink] you can get even better odds. There are many places you can get implied odds of 62-63%. Many sportsbook offer election odds. You can also use bet with crypto on sites like Polymarket. This bet gets worse if you are paying tons of income tax and cannot offset lo... | |
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bbprompt.com
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| | | 1 post published by Rachael Ritchey on September 17, 2021 | ||
