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www.frbsf.org | ||
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www.brookings.edu
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| | | | | The Federal Reserve likely will need to push unemployment far higher than its 4.1 percent projection if it is to succeed in bringing inflation down to its 2 percent target by the end of 2024 according to this BPEA report. | |
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www.moneyandbanking.com
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| | | | | "Headline" inflation is making painful headlines again. In October, consumer prices rose by 6.2 percent from a year ago-the most rapid gain in at least three decades. Measures of trend inflation also are showing unsettling increases, with the trimmed mean CPI up by 4%. And there are reasons to believe that inflation will stay well above policymakers' 2% target for an extended period. In this post, we briefly summarize how we got here and argue that the Federal Reserve needs to change course now. In our v... | |
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libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org
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| | | | | The debate about the natural rate of interest, or r*, sometimes overlooks the point that there is an entire term structure of r* measures, with short-run estimates capturing current economic conditions and long-run estimates capturing more secular factors. The whole term structure of r* matters for policy: shorter run measures are relevant for gauging how restrictive or expansionary current policy is, while longer run measures are relevant when assessing terminal rates. This two-post series covers the ev... | |
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www.minneapolisfed.org
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