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mathscholar.org | ||
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mathinvestor.org
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| | | | | [AI summary] The text explores the post-hoc probability fallacy across various domains, emphasizing that assigning probabilities to singular events based on observed outcomes is logically flawed. It discusses examples like the evolution of life, the fine-tuning of the universe, and the multiverse theory, all of which are criticized for relying on flawed probabilistic reasoning. The text also references Steven Pinker's analogy to illustrate the fallacy, highlighting that such reasoning often leads to incorrect conclusions about the likelihood of events. Overall, the summary underscores the importance of recognizing the limitations of probabilistic reasoning when dealing with unique, unrepeatable phenomena. | |
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www.bretthall.org
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| | | | | This is a paper originally submitted to Swinburne University as part of a postgraduate project. An Anthropic Universe? Imagine a puddle waking up one morning and thinking, "This is an... | |
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www.space.com
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| | | | | There's water, water everywhere on the dwarf planet Ceres, according to new research. New observations have provided direct evidence that water ice is ubiquitous on the surface and shallow subsurface of this massive asteroid. | |
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www.techradar.com
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| | | The latest OpenAI breaking news, comment, reviews and features from the experts at TechRadar | ||
