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www.greaterwrong.com | ||
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www.jefftk.com
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| | | | | An incredibly productive way of working with the world is to reduce a complex question to something that can be modeled mathematically and then do the math. The most common way this can fail, however, is when your model is missing important properties of the real world. Consider insurance: there's some event with probability X% under which you'd be out $Y, you want to maximize the logarithm of your wealth, and your current wealth is $Z. Under this model, you can calculate (more) the most you should be willing to pay to insure against this. | |
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www.lesswrong.com
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| | | | | The best approach I know for thinking about anthropic problems is Wei Dai's Updateless Decision Theory (UDT). We aren't yet able to solve all problem... | |
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sideways-view.com
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| | | | | There are many tricky questions in decision theory. In this post, I'll argue that the choice between CDT and EDT isn't one of them. Causal decision theory (CDT) evaluates expected utilities under causal interventions, while evidential decision theory (EDT) evaluates conditional expected utilities. Humans tend to have strong intuitions in favor of CDT, but I'll... | |
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richardcarrier.blogspot.com
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| | | Over the years I have been mulling a problem in metaphysics: the ontological mysteries of Quantum Mechanics. I have been developing a theory... | ||
